Surge in HBM Demand Marks Memory Market Recovery and Anticipated Growth in 2024 for Samsung

The global memory market, after experiencing a period of stagnation, has witnessed a resurgence in the third quarter, driven primarily by increased demand for high-density DRAM and NAND products in the PC and mobile sectors.

Samsung Electronics' financial results for 3Q23 highlighted a 12% QoQ revenue increase to 67.40 trillion Korean won, although there was a 12% YoY decrease. Notably, the company reported its highest quarterly profit for the year. Despite potential economic uncertainties in 2024, Samsung is optimistic about the recovery of the memory market and the rebound in smartphone demand. 

The memory sector saw a recovery compared to the previous quarter, especially in PC and mobile due to the rise in adoption of high-density DRAM and NAND products. The completion of customer inventory adjustments also played a role. Server demand was subdued for traditional servers due to macroeconomic uncertainties. However, strong demand persisted for AI-oriented high-density products. Samsung emphasized its focus on expanding sales of advanced node products like HBM DDR5, LPDDR5, and UFS 4.0. They also intend to manage high inventory products through production adjustments. The company expects the recovery trend in the memory market to accelerate further in the fourth quarter. Additionally, there has been a notable surge in HBM demand and the company is actively advancing its HBM businesses and plans to augment its HBM supply capacity by 2.5 times next year.

Trendforce on X (LINK)

The foundry division secured a record number of new orders, particularly in the HPC domain, despite a slow recovery in the mobile market. The new Taylor factory in Texas is set to begin production using the second-gen 3nm GAA process. The advanced packaging business has also been flourishing with orders from both domestic and international HPC clients.

Profits in the mobile panel business surged due to new flagship models from major clients. In contrast, the large panel business faced tepid demand. Samsung aims to cater to the growing mobile panel demand and increase profitability in the large panel sector by introducing new products and enhancing yield rates.

With the global economy expected to bounce back in 2024, the smartphone market's demand is anticipated to surge. High-end market growth is likely to continue, driven by the global recovery of the smartphone market.

Looking ahead to 2024, Samsung anticipates increased PC and mobile demand due to product replacement cycles initiated during the pandemic's early phase. High-density trends in both DRAM and NAND are expected to persist, propelled by on-device AI advancements. The company plans to focus on advanced node products, including 1B nanometer DDR5, LPDR5X, PCI Gen 5, and UFS 4.0, to bolster product competitiveness and profitability. Emphasizing the growing demand for generative AI, Samsung aims to strengthen its market position with high-density, low-power, and high-performance products for on-device AI, which has recently gained significant attention.

Sources;

TrendForce on X: "Samsung Electronics has released its financial results for 3Q23, reporting a quarterly revenue of 67.40 trillion Korean won—a 12% QoQ increase but 12% YoY decrease. The company achieved its highest quarterly profit of the year and anticipates that, despite ongoing global economic… https://t.co/RDKVjimgzN" / X (twitter.com)

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (SSNLF) Q3 2023 Earnings Conference Call Transcript | Seeking Alpha